NFL Kickoff FREE PICK
- Updated: September 4, 2014
The 2014 NFL season is FINALLY HERE!! all the off season and preseason speculation is over and it is now time to see who is ready and who is not to compete for the Lombardi trophy this year. To start out the season we have what on paper looks to be a close matchup however, lets take a closer look at the GREEN BAY PACKERS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS game tonight. At the end we will give our free nfl pick as always.
This is from the guys over at VEGASINSIDER.com
The NFL regular season is back with a dynamic matchup to kick off the 2014 campaign in the Pacific Northwest. The defending champion Seattle Seahawks will raise the first Super Bowl title banner in franchise history as they welcome in Green Bay to CenturyLink Field. Both these division winners are expected to do big things once again this season, as Seattle puts its fantastic home record on the line.
Since the start of the 2012 season, Pete Carroll’s squad has won 17 of 18 games at home, with the lone defeat coming to Arizona last season in a 17-10 setback. During this span, the Seahawks have covered 13 times, including a 10-5 ATS mark in the home favorite role. Many people can’t forget the second win during this stretch, the controversial 14-12 victory by Seattle on what has been dubbed as the “Fail Mary.”
In Russell Wilson’s third NFL start in Week 3 of 2012, the Seahawks were listed as a three-point home underdog to the Packers. Seattle rallied on the final play of regulation with a Hail Mary touchdown pass from Wilson to Golden Tate to grab the two-point triumph. However, it was the last game that the replacement referees would work after botching up that touchdown in which two of the officials had ruled opposite calls (one a touchdown, the other an interception). That victory would eventually jump-start Seattle, who finished that season at 11-5 and a trip to the divisional round of the playoffs.
The Packers narrowly won the NFC North title last season in spite of an 8-7-1 record, as Green Bay is seeking its sixth consecutive trip to the playoffs this season. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers missed eight games in 2013 with a broken collarbone suffered in the first quarter of a Week 9 home loss to Chicago, as the Packers limped to a 2-5-1 record without their signal-caller. Rodgers lifted the Packers to a division championship with a 48-yard touchdown strike to Randall Cobb in the final minute of the regular season finale over the Bears at Soldier Field, 33-28 as three-point favorites.
Seattle’s magical Super Bowl run was punctuated by a 43-8 rout of Denver as two-point underdogs in a game in which the Seahawks dominated from the opening kick. The Seahawks’ defense dominated in the postseason by limiting New Orleans, San Francisco, and Denver to a combined 40 points, while Seattle allowed over 17 points just twice in 10 home games last season.
For what it’s worth, the Seahawks split four games in the preseason with both victories coming at CenturyLink Field. Seattle outscored San Diego and Chicago in those blowouts by a combined, 75-20, as the Seahawks easily covered in each of those wins. Green Bay finished the exhibition campaign at 3-1 SU/ATS as the Packers won their final three games after losing their opener at Tennessee.
The Packers finished last season covering just once in four tries as a road underdog, as the only game with Rodgers at quarterback in this situation came in the season opening defeat at San Francisco as 5 ½-point underdogs. Since November 2006, Green Bay has dropped six of its last eight primetime games, including an 0-4 SU/ATS record on the road in this span.
In season openers under head coach Mike McCarthy, the Packers won five consecutive times from 2007 through 2011. However, Green Bay has dropped the last two games in Week 1 in 2012 and 2013, both coincidentally to San Francisco. The Seahawks are a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS in home openers under Carroll, but Seattle has posted a 2-2 SU/ATS record in Week 1 since 2010.
Backing the defending Super Bowl champion in Week 1 of the following season was once a pretty automatic win. From 2000 through 2011, these clubs put together a 12-0 SU and 9-2-1 ATS ledger, but this trend has taken a downward turn as the Giants (2012) and Ravens (2013) have each lost their opener following a title.
The Seahawks opened as five-point home favorites, as money has come in on the champs, moving the line to 5 ½ and even six points at several outlets. Right now, Seattle is sitting as a steady 5 ½-point favorite, while the total is listed at 47. The game kicks off at 8:35 PM EST and can be seen nationally on NBC.
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